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《Asian Agricultural Research》 2017年06期
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Analysis of Pork Price Cycle and Its Relationship with CPI

Suyun CHENG  Jin HU  
【摘要】:Since the second half of 2015,the price of pork has come into a new round of rising cycle,especially from January to April of 2016,pork prices continued rising.Excessive rising of pork prices sparks people's concern about CPI rising.It is of practical significance to discussing the fluctuation cycle of pork price and its relationship with CPI.In this context,we do empirical research on pork cycle and price fluctuations with CPI relationships.From January 2000 to March 2016,based on a total of 195 samples,using Eviews6.0 metrology software,we draw the following conclusions:fluctuations in the price of pork did Granger cause CPI,the impact of pork price fluctuations on the CPI was significant and the effect significantly was enhanced after certain lag;CPI did not Granger cause pork price fluctuations,CPI had no significant effect on the price of pork;pork price was affected by its own large contribution,and there was a certain time lag effect of the impact;CPI had a positive impact on itself,for its contribution is relatively large.Finally we put forward relative strategies.
【作者单位】School
【关键词】Pig price cycle Pork prices CPI
【分类号】:F323.7
【正文快照】:
1 Introduction Since 2016 of January,pork prices have continued to rise,especially from April 18 to April 24,pork prices rose by 46.8%.Rising pork prices have raised concerns about rising prices.According to the experience of the past,the price of pork

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